Back To $729,750: Conforming Loan Limits In High-Cost Areas Get Stimulus Package Boost.
Another day, another demand-side stimulus for the housing market. Huzzah.
In the sprawling 407-page stimulus bill, nestled in on page 111, Congress authorized a reinstatement of 2008's temporary conforming loan limits. Effective immediately, home loans in high-cost areas can be insured by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac up to $729,750.
"High-cost" means exactly what it sounds like. A high-cost area is one in which homes are relatively expensive versus the rest of the country. Cities like Arlington, Aspen and Maui come to mind. Los Angeles and New York, too.
For homeowners in these areas, the standard conforming loan limit of $417,000 doesn't apply.
The definition of "high-cost" doesn't end there, though. Different from the 2008 implementation in which sale prices across a county were used to identify high cost areas, the 2009 edition gives discretion for "sub-areas". This is a hugely important piece of the bill -- especially for people in Chicago.
See, the Chicago Metropolitan Statistical Area includes the triangle of Chicago-Naperville-Joliet. For all of the high-cost homes in Lincoln Park and Lakeview that would pull up the median sales prices of the region, there are low cost homes on the south and west parts of the city to pull it down, rendering all Chicagoland homeowners ineligible for the jumbo-conforming loan limits.
The same goes for Lake County, Illinois. Because expensive North Shore homes are outnumbered out by inexpensive homes in the rest of the area, towns like Lake Forest and Northbrook were left out from the 2008 plan.
But now, because the government can legally separate Chicago into sub-areas that defy regional trends, thousands of homeowners can be suddenly eligible for low-rate conforming home loans. This is a big deal because as mortgage rates have fallen, home buyers in Highland Park, Kenilworth, and Gold Coast have been forced into the more expensive world of Jumbo Mortgages.
In Cincinnati, the same could be said of Indian Hill.
Now that sub-areas are eligible for high-cost treatment, we can expect demand for new homes to rise because -- in relative terms, at least -- home financing will be Sofa King cheap.
The loan limit reinstatement to $729,750 is another positive development for the housing market. So much of its ills have been tied to falling home prices and this is just one more way for the government to spur demand. Combine this action with the $8,000 first-time home buyer credit, Fannie Mae's re-uppance to 10 properties per person, and the ongoing foreclosure moratorium and you can practically predict how the Supply and Demand curve is going to shift.
The government hasn't yet defined which sub-areas are high-cost and which are not.
For more information about this, give me a call. Gary Bussard, Envoy Mortgage 314-993-6690.
Reality Check
Courtesy of Gary Bussard
Envoy Mortgage
To All Customers:
With a never ending stream of babble from the news media about low 4% interest rates for everyone in America, the one thing we can tell you for certain is that the government is not going to pay for it. If there is anything in this “mysterious” stimulus package to lower mortgage rates, it will only be some kind of assistance to help sell housing inventories; not to help lower the rates further for those making regular payments, trying to refinance.
Mortgage rates are derived from bonds which are traded on the “free market”. Mortgage rates are now trading in a range between the upper 4% and low 5% range. This range is lower then it has been in the 37 years Freddie Mac has been keeping records.
Trillions of dollarshave been pulled out of the stock market and investors are sitting on the sidelines waiting for the market to stabilize and it will happen! When the money starts pouring back in, fixed rate mortgages will shoot up, 1%, 11/2% or more. Who knows? But they will go up and maybe overnight.
When considering mortgage refinancing, do not expect to get the same rate as your neighbor, friend or relative, unless your financial profile, credit score, loan to value, property type, property usage etc., are identical.
If you’re shopping rates, know that any published rate is obsolete before the ink dries; any quoted rates without a rate lock are probably meaningless. The bond market is in constant motion, just like stocks.
Unlike many of our competitors, we monitor the bond market live. We see directional changes as they happen and get lock alerts from our service provider.
Those of us that have been in the mortgage industry a while have lists of customers that tried waiting out an extra 1/8% to ¼% and completely missing the market lows. We see it every time rates dip.
Don’t miss out. Call me today and start saving money now. (314) 993-6690.
Where To Find The Best Pricing For Jumbo And Super-Jumbo Mortgages
Among the most overlooked elements of the recently-passed stimulus package is the reinstatement of 2008's conforming loan limits.
Up from $625,500 to $729,750, homeowners in high-cost areas have a better chance of accessing today's low mortgage rates and that is good for both housing and the economy.
Areas designated as high-cost, though, are categorized as such for a reason.
Despite the hundred-thousand-dollar increase to conforming loan limits, there are still plenty of American homeowners in high-cost areas whose home loans remain too big for Fannie Mae to insure. Traditionally, we've called these out-sized loans "jumbo mortgages", or "super-jumbo mortgages".
Over the past few years, jumbo mortgages were bought and securitized by investment banks, hedge funds and other financial firms. This helped keep rates low.
Today, however, and as anybody shopping for a jumbo loan can attest, the dearth of both private and public investors has made getting an out-sized loan an extremely expensive proposition. Rates on jumbo mortgages have been downright awful compared to its conforming-mortgage cousin. Not to mention significantly higher loan fees.
Thankfully, there is a choice -- it's just not one you may have thought of.
See, the terms "jumbo" and "super jumbo" -- these are words used to describe Wall Street-bound loans and if we look beyond Wall Street, we find local banks that are happy to lend to people in need of money.
And different from Big Banks, local banks tend to keep their loans on the books, giving them permission to draw their own mortgage playbook, separate from what a Fannie Mae-bound loan requires. We call these mortgages "portfolio loans" and if you've never seen one, the guidelines can look a little weird.
The good news for jumbo mortgage holders, though, is that portfolio lenders are killing what the likes of the Big Banks have to offer.
For example, I'm currently quoting a $1,500,000, 7-year ARM at 5.125 percent (APR 5.221). I tried to shop the same product at a few Big Banks -- none would even consider the loan, let alone try to price it. And, there are plenty of other examples like this, too.
None of these mortgages would be approvable through the likes of Chase, Bank of America, Citibank, or Wells Fargo. It takes a niche lender to get it done.
Finding niche lenders isn't always easy, but it can be worth the extra effort. Mortgage rates are often lower, downpayment requirements are often smaller, and the underwriting process is often smoother. As a mortgage broker, I work with a lot of them.
Please call me with any questions regarding these Jumbo and Super Jumbo loans, or any loans for that matter and I will be more than happy to assist you. Please call me at
(314) 993-6690, Gary Bussard, Envoy Mortgage. Thank you!!
Compare rates from up to 4 lenders for debt management
Equifax Inc., a credit reporting agency, recently told Reuters that debt delinquencies are on the rise. There were some other disturbing highlights from Equifax's November data on consumer debt:
Experts believe the growing delinquencies are related to the combination of increased unemployment and the lagging burden of excessive consumer spending in prior years.
When the global financial crisis heated up in the second half of 2008, American consumers responded by reigning in their spending. In the third quarter of last year, consumer spending actually shrank by 3.8 percent, the largest decline since 1980. Balances on credit cards declined slightly also; Equifax reports that cumulative balances on bank-issued cards fell 0.21 percent to $834 billion between October and November of last year. Unfortunately, the delinquencies are still rising-an indication that the current economy is taking a toll on American households. In addition, those delinquencies represent another challenge for banks that are already working to purge themselves of bad mortgage loans. Should the past-due debt trend continue, both borrowers and lenders might find themselves sliding towards impending financial doom.
Please call any of our staff to inquire about Debt Consolidation or Refinancing of your current loan. We will discuss your different options.
Call us today: 314-993-6690. We're here to help!!
As I have mentioned many times before, the only way we could get mortgage rates down this low was with the Fed buying up mortgage backed securities and creating an artificially inflated market, aka the “mortgage rate bubble”. They have been the creators of the bubbles in the past through their actions, so why should this one be any different?
Well, the headlines not too long ago stated that Paulson and Bernanke wanted mortgage rates to be as low as 4.5%, some mortgage originators even developed their own agenda of 3.5% mortgage rates as another bait and switch advertising campaign. But reality is quite different and the Fed knows that. Or do they? We can see what their MBS purchase pattern looks like and you can see they are not trying to drive mortgage rates down at all right now. In fact, it looks more like they are trying to keep mortgage rates from spiking higher, bringing into question whether or not they are already realizing that mortgage rates are headed higher and likely quickly, so they need to dampen that burden on the economy.
Here is a chart I did that shows their actions each week, allowing you to see where their purchasing concentration is. Click on the picture to get the full sized graph.
As you can see, the Fed was buying mortgage backed securities with lower coupon rates in the beginning. They are still concentrating their purchases of Freddie Mac mortgage bonds in the lower coupon rates, but even here they have crept away from the 4.0 and only last week dropped back into the 4.5% MBS. The Fannie Mae purchases are quite different, however. The Fed’s focus on Fannie Mae mortgage bonds has drifted, and stayed in the higher coupon ranges, namely the 5.5% coupon and bleeding into the 6.0% MBS last week.
So what does this all mean? In all likelihood, the Feds are expecting mortgage backed securities market pressure to drive mortgage rates higher. In fact, they may even be concerned about their actions turning into inflation down the road and the market reaction to that fact. That means they have little power to drive mortgage rates lower and the best they can do is to maintain mortgage rates, or more realistically, keep mortgage rates from spiking.
With the shift of the purchases towards the higher coupon bonds, one of two things are taking place. They likely are attempting to maintain stability in the markets as much as possible. The other possibility is, in my opinion, a little less likely, that is they are purchasing higher coupon rates because those loans are likely to get refinanced and paid, thus allowing them to recoup their investment fairly quickly. With the Fed playing with “fake” money, aka printing new money to build their balance sheet (Bernanke favors this tactic to create inflation), I doubt this is what they are focused on, not to mention that it is a gamble they may not pay off.
Decide what you may, but the reality is the Fed is not going to drive mortgage rates lower through the purchase of mortgage backed securities. That means, all those people out there looking to refinance or even purchase homes at the lowest mortgage rates already missed the boat.
Please Remember though, that Rates are still below 5%!!
Give us a Call Now to Inquire, as Rates do change daily.
Happy Valentines Day!!
The Relationship Between Deflation And Mortgage Rates
With both consumption and household income down last month, it's as good a time as any to rerun this graphic from November. That Great American Penny-Pinch is making deflation as real a threat to the economy as inflation is.
The difference, though, is that deflation can be good for mortgage rates. Inflation rarely is.
Remember that Rates are still below 5%!! Please give us a call. (314) 993-6690.
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